Tuesday, March 24, 2009

ATTRITIONAL WAR, STAYING THE COURSE AND STAYING CLEAN

Without a doubt, the military operations need to continue and from all appearances they will. The SLDF has by now limited the area under direct LTTE control and thus the area open for operations, to a mere 9 kilometers. As a result the LTTE is gradually moving its military assets and leadership into the 'safe zone' on the eastern sea coast. Sri Lankan media in the area provides a daily feed of LTTE operations within the safe zone, from where tamil tigers' guns placed among civillians can be seen firing on the Sri Lankan military.

The LTTE is in dire straights. Its anticipated assistance from overseas and in particular Tamilnadu failed to materialize even though rigorous efforts were made to mobilize various sleeper cells in many nations. While their efforts failed to yield the anticipated results, the host nations themselves did recieve a rude awakening in the form of realizing the extent to which their own cities have been infilterated by the feared tamil tigers. Canada primarily is a nation which could easily anticipate a dangerous upward trend in high intensity violence as a result of the eviction of tamil tigers from Sri Lanka. Most of these tamils who have been trained in terrorism lack any other markettable employment skills and will easily become violent criminals on the streets of the host nations. They will also carry a grudge against these same host nations for failing to support their secessionist cause. The nations who recently witnessed high participation in anti-Sri Lanka demonstrations would do well to review video coverage from those demos and watch the people involved in them closely well into the future.

In the meanwhile the SLDF is continuing the attritional attacks, coupled with decapitation strikes which have resulted in the death of a large number of self-styled Majors, Lt.Colonels and Colonels of the LTTE. The tigers are also losing their grip on the civillian human shield as more of them manage to slip through the LTTE cordon to reach government controlled areas. The LTTE also continues to target the escaping civillians and have been instructed by the leadership to kill those attempting to reach government controlled areas. Military teams operating close to the LTTE areas routinely dis-arm improvised explosive devices and other booby traps laid targetting civillians, while conducting strikes against tiger cadres pursuing civillians.

Soon the SLDF will make its final strike into the remaining areas under the LTTE and will be in a position to take the last of the tamil tiger heirarchy dead or alive. With a few square kilometers of ground left, it is highly doubtful whether the tigers still possess the capability to launch any airborne escape for their leaders. Thus the only escape path remaining is the sea, which is closely watched by the SLN.

When the last remaining areas are over-run, it is very important that Sri Lanka is still in a position to establish legitimacy of purpose and operations even when examined in hindsight. This is where the pressure exerted by western nations and others can be directed by those who think beyond blind loyalties to the SLG based on politics or otherwise. There should not be any summary justice, instead any surrendees must be treated within Geneva convention norms.

Our conduct at the closing stages of the game will matter hugely on how the next stage of peace making gets played out. Winning the peace is the ultimate objective of winning the war and any conduct which defeats that purpose must be avoided at all costs. Sri Lankan military planners and ground commanders appear to have communicated this fact quite well to the fighting troops.

1 comment:

NOLTTE=Peace said...

Keep up the good work TS!